A recent poll conducted by Quinnipiac University has revealed some interesting findings regarding the potential outcome of a general election matchup between President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump. The poll, which surveyed 1,650 registered voters nationwide between January 25 and January 29, showed that Biden currently leads Trump by a margin of 50% to 44%.
This marks a significant improvement for Biden compared to Quinnipiac’s December poll, which showed 47% support for him compared to 46% for Trump. The January poll also found that 96% of Democrats backed Biden, while Trump had overwhelming support among Republican voters with a 91% to 7% tally. Additionally, Biden had majority support among independent voters, trumping Trump by a 52% to 40% margin.
One interesting aspect highlighted by the poll is the gender divide. Biden’s support among women has widened, with a 58% to 36% margin in his favor, up from 53% to 41% in late December. Trump’s support among men held steady at 53% to 42%. This shift propelled by female voters has transformed the head-to-head tie with Trump into a modest lead for Biden.
When independent candidates Robert Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, as well as Green Party candidate Jill Stein, were included on the ballot, Biden still led Trump, although with a smaller lead. Biden received 39% support compared to 37% for Trump. Kennedy took away 14% of the votes, West 3%, and Stein 2%.
However, Biden faced a setback when matched up against former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. Haley was backed by 47% of the respondents compared to the 42% Biden received. Furthermore, 53% of independents supported Haley, while only 37% backed Biden. The president, however, led Haley among both Republicans and Democrats by a significant margin.
In a five-person ballot that included Haley as the potential Republican nominee, Biden led with 36% of the vote, followed by Haley (29%), Kennedy (21%), West (3%), and Stein (2%). This suggests that Haley’s inclusion would tilt the scales in favor of Biden.
It is important to note that these poll results are not definitive and should be taken with a grain of salt. The political landscape is dynamic, and many factors can influence the outcome of an election. Additionally, these findings are based on a hypothetical matchup and may not accurately reflect the sentiments of voters in the actual election.
As the race for the presidency continues to unfold, it will be interesting to see how these numbers fluctuate and which candidate ultimately emerges as the front-runner. The next results are expected from South Carolina, with the Republican primary on February 24 and the Democratic primary on Saturday.
