The era of the Magnificent Seven in the stock market, a term coined for a group of mega-cap giants, might be coming to an end, according to an analyst who popularized the label.
The “Magnificent Seven” stocks, which include Apple Inc (AAPL), Meta Platforms Inc (META), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Tesla Inc (TSLA), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN), and Microsoft Corp (MSFT), have seen their fortunes diverge this year, reported Business Insider.
Mike O’Rourke, the chief market strategist at Jones Trading, who is credited with coining the term, suggested in a note titled “R.I.P the Magnificent Seven Era” that the group’s dominance over the stock market is waning. The Magnificent Seven, which contributed to 88% of the year-to-date gains in April, now accounts for 45% of the S&P 500’s gains, a significant drop.
“This big rising tide of seven names lift[ing] all boats in the stock market, is what I see ending,” O’Rourke said. “I don’t see these seven names rising together.”
O’Rourke highlighted the diverging trajectories of the Magnificent Seven, with companies like Nvidia experiencing a 66% surge in stock value, while Tesla’s stock has dropped 22% amid concerns about electric vehicle demand.
One of the key reasons for the divergence is the increasing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) in the market. Companies like Nvidia and Meta are seen as major players in the AI trade, while others like Tesla are still primarily associated with their core businesses.
Dan Niles of the Satori Fund suggested reducing the portfolio to include only Nvidia, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft, also known as the “Fantastic Four.”
The Magnificent Seven stocks have been a significant force in the market, as highlighted by Goldman Sachs’ Hedge Fund Trend Monitor, which showed that six out of the 10 largest holdings in over 700 aggregated hedge fund portfolios are increasingly concentrated towards these stocks. This enthusiasm does not mirror their market weight, with the Magnificent Seven accounting for a record 13% of the aggregate hedge fund long portfolios, significantly underweight compared to a 26% collective stake in the Russell 3000.
The Magnificent Seven stocks have also been a central topic during the recent earnings season, with Jim Cramer commending Nvidia for its record revenue and Amazon for its growing advertising and web services sector.
Meanwhile, Broadcom has emerged as a potential replacement for Tesla in the Magnificent Seven, with its shares rallying 10% as Tesla’s shares slumped 22% into 2024.
In conclusion, the era of the Magnificent Seven in the stock market may be coming to an end as the fortunes of these mega-cap giants diverge and new players emerge. It will be interesting to see how the market landscape evolves in the coming months and what impact this shift will have on investors and the overall market sentiment.
